| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.9% | 74% | -12.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 74.1% | 25.9% |
| logistic | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Robin Bertrand | Liam Gavrielides | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1580 | 1479 |
| Surface Elo | 1580 | 1479 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Maxence Rivet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Hernandez, Carles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Arce Fernandez, Mario | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Sergio Callejon Hernando | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Felix Roussel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Massellani, Simone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Lilian Marmousez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Josh Manuel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Feb | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug | H | Martin Klizan | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.35 | 74.1% | 24 Oct 06:15 |