OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Club Brugge 2.40 3 - 0 1.80 Genk
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 71.3%67%+4.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 92.7%89%+3.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 91.5%85%+6.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 51.4%71%-19.3%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 47.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson62.6%20.7%16.8%
xgboost64.8%20.7%14.5%
logistic70.0%18.9%11.0%
Inputs the models saw
Club BruggeGenk
Elo (pre-match)18071621
Surface Elo18071621
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.80
Form trend0.000.40
Season points per game2.501.50
Season goals for / game2.002.17
Season goals against / game0.501.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)8 W1 W · 1 D
Club Brugge: last 5
13 SepHAntwerp3 - 1W
04 SepALommel SK1 - 0W
30 AugAGent1 - 2L
23 AugHCercle Brugge1 - 0W
15 AugAOud-Heverlee Leuven3 - 0W
Genk: last 5
13 SepHGent1 - 1D
06 SepAAnderlecht0 - 0D
28 AugHWaasland-Beveren4 - 0W
22 AugAAntwerp4 - 4D
15 AugHWesterlo3 - 2W
Head to head
26 Dec 2025Genk3 - 5Club Brugge
27 Jul 2025Club Brugge2 - 1Genk
11 May 2025Genk0 - 2Club Brugge
13 Apr 2025Club Brugge1 - 0Genk
15 Dec 2024Club Brugge2 - 0Genk
11 Aug 2024Genk3 - 2Club Brugge
28 Apr 2024Genk0 - 3Club Brugge
24 Apr 2024Club Brugge4 - 0Genk
03 Mar 2024Genk0 - 3Club Brugge
28 Sep 2023Club Brugge1 - 1Genk
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.5018.2%20 Sep 17:30
Bet3651X2draw4.2023.8%20 Sep 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.5066.7%20 Sep 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4071.4%20 Sep 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.8834.7%20 Sep 17:30
SportyBet1X2away5.4218.4%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.8220.8%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5464.9%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4369.9%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.8535.1%20 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:25 UTC