| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.1% | 54% | +1.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.5% | 56.4% |
| logistic | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| Rafael Tosetto | Tomas Farjat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1408 | 1435 |
| Surface Elo | 1408 | 1435 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 29 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Jose Pereira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Bruno Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Jun | A | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.86 | 53.8% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |