| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.4% | 74% | -15.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.0% | 76.9% |
| logistic | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Alexandre Aubriot | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1399 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1399 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 12 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Belozertsev, Nikita | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Nicholas Campbell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Nikita Mashtakov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Mar | A | Paul Jubb | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Filip Krolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Alexis Gautier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Feb | H | James Trotter | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jan | H | Dan Added | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jan | H | Maxime Janvier | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.44 | 69.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 21 Oct 06:15 |