| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.4% | 82% | -11.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 70.1% | 29.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 66.0% | 33.9% |
| logistic | 66.5% | 33.5% |
| Dino Prizmic | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1821 | 1643 |
| Surface Elo | 1821 | 1643 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | Tommy Paul | 1 - 3 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Hamish Stewart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Hamish Stewart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | Dino Prizmic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.23 | 81.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |