| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.4% | 79% | -8.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 74.8% | 25.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.8% | 20.2% |
| logistic | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1648 | 1469 |
| Surface Elo | 1648 | 1469 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Maximo Zeitune | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 1 - 2 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.55 | 28.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |