OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 07 November 2026, 17:30 UTC · finished
Stuttgart 1.20 1 - 0 2.20 Werder Bremen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 54.3%60%-5.6%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.1%81%-1.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 71.7%75%-3.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63.8%76%-12.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 64.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson60.6%20.4%18.9%
xgboost47.0%29.1%23.9%
logistic54.5%24.7%20.8%
Inputs the models saw
StuttgartWerder Bremen
Elo (pre-match)16811605
Surface Elo16811605
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.202.20
Form trend-0.30-0.20
Season points per game1.502.00
Season goals for / game2.002.25
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Stuttgart: last 5
03 NovAGalatasaray0 - 2L
31 OctABayer Leverkusen4 - 2W
31 OctABayer Leverkusen4 - 2W
31 OctADuisburg3 - 3D
28 OctAPaderborn1 - 0W
Werder Bremen: last 5
31 OctHHoffenheim2 - 0W
31 OctHHoffenheim2 - 0W
27 OctABorussia Dortmund2 - 3L
24 OctAMainz3 - 2W
24 OctAMainz3 - 2W
Head to head
26 Apr 2026Stuttgart1 - 1Werder Bremen
14 Dec 2025Werder Bremen0 - 4Stuttgart
13 Apr 2025Stuttgart1 - 2Werder Bremen
30 Nov 2024Werder Bremen2 - 2Stuttgart
21 Apr 2024Werder Bremen2 - 1Stuttgart
02 Dec 2023Stuttgart2 - 0Werder Bremen
05 Feb 2023Stuttgart0 - 2Werder Bremen
13 Aug 2022Werder Bremen2 - 2Stuttgart
04 Apr 2021Stuttgart1 - 0Werder Bremen
06 Dec 2020Werder Bremen1 - 2Stuttgart
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.5322.1%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.7621.0%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7058.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3275.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.5028.6%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC