OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-04
🎾 ATP Beijing, China Men Singles · Sunday 04 October 2026, 11:00 UTC · finished
Alexander Zverev 3.00 1 - 2 1.20 Novak Djokovic
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.3%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov57.8%42.2%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost65.1%34.9%
logistic54.7%45.3%
Inputs the models saw
Alexander ZverevNovak Djokovic
Elo (pre-match)21912101
Surface Elo21912101
Form, last 5 (PPG)3.001.20
Form trend0.00-0.90
Season points per game3.003.00
Season goals for / game2.002.00
Season goals against / game0.000.50
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W7 W · 0 D
Alexander Zverev: last 5
04 OctHNovak Djokovic1 - 2L
03 OctHJuncheng Shang2 - 0W
03 OctHJuncheng Shang2 - 0W
01 OctHCameron Norrie2 - 0W
01 OctHRohan Murali2 - 0W
Novak Djokovic: last 5
04 OctAAlexander Zverev2 - 1W
02 OctABu Yunchaokete2 - 1W
02 OctHYunchaokete Bu2 - 1W
30 SepANuno Borges2 - 0W
30 SepHNuno Borges2 - 0W
Head to head
04 Oct 2026Alexander Zverev1 - 2Novak Djokovic
26 May 2025Alexander Zverev1 - 3Novak Djokovic
13 Jan 2025Alexander Zverev1 - 0Novak Djokovic
14 Aug 2023Alexander Zverev0 - 2Novak Djokovic
15 Nov 2021Alexander Zverev2 - 1Novak Djokovic
30 Aug 2021Alexander Zverev2 - 3Novak Djokovic
24 Jul 2021Alexander Zverev2 - 1Novak Djokovic
08 Feb 2021Alexander Zverev1 - 3Novak Djokovic
02 Feb 2021Alexander Zverev1 - 2Novak Djokovic
16 Nov 2020Alexander Zverev0 - 2Novak Djokovic
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC