| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.8% | 78% | -19.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.5% | 97% | -14.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.4% | 94% | -19.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 40% | +8.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 74.1% | 17.1% | 8.9% |
| xgboost | 63.9% | 19.8% | 16.3% |
| logistic | 60.2% | 22.8% | 17.1% |
| Ross County | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1448 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1448 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 2.71 | 1.13 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.14 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Clachnacuddin FC | 5 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Queen of Sth | 8 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | East Fife | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22 Sep | H | Hibernian | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | East Kilbride | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | East Kilbride | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Airdrie Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Mar 2019 | Alloa | 1 - 0 | Ross County |
| 26 Jan 2019 | Ross County | 2 - 0 | Alloa |
| 01 Dec 2018 | Alloa | 0 - 1 | Ross County |
| 04 Aug 2018 | Ross County | 1 - 0 | Alloa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 9.50 | 10.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.25 | 19.1% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.63 | 38.0% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.00 | 12.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.50 | 18.2% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |