OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-25
🎾 ATP Challenger Sioux Falls, USA Men Singles · Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:10 UTC · finished
Daniil Ostapenkov 1.20 2 - 0 0.00 Quinn Vandecasteele
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.5%48%+5.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov43.8%56.2%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost51.5%48.5%
logistic64.2%35.8%
Inputs the models saw
Daniil OstapenkovQuinn Vandecasteele
Elo (pre-match)14901422
Surface Elo14901422
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.00
Form trend0.300.00
Season points per game1.200.00
Season goals for / game0.800.50
Season goals against / game1.402.00
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Daniil Ostapenkov: last 5
18 OctAAlbert Pedrico Kravtsov0 - 2L
01 OctAAbdullah Shelbayh0 - 2L
29 SepARaphael Perot2 - 1W
28 SepAQuinn Vandecasteele2 - 0W
28 SepAAbdullah Shelbayh0 - 2L
Quinn Vandecasteele: last 5
18 OctHMichael Antonius1 - 2L
15 OctHSebastian Gorzny0 - 2L
28 SepHDaniil Ostapenkov0 - 2L
24 AugAJames Duckworth0 - 2L
10 AugHTristan Schoolkate1 - 2L
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Quinn Vandecasteele0 - 2Daniil Ostapenkov
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6959.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1047.6%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:03 UTC