OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-13
🎾 ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles · Tuesday 13 October 2026, 11:10 UTC · finished
Hubert Hurkacz 1.80 0 - 2 1.80 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 56.4%54%+2.6%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov51.6%48.4%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost59.5%40.4%
logistic50.9%49.1%
Inputs the models saw
Hubert HurkaczAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
Elo (pre-match)20211991
Surface Elo20211991
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.80
Form trend-0.90-0.30
Season points per game2.502.57
Season goals for / game1.671.86
Season goals against / game0.670.57
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W6 W · 0 D
Hubert Hurkacz: last 5
13 OctAAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2L
11 OctHYi Zhou2 - 1W
11 OctHYi Zhou2 - 1W
09 OctANovak Djokovic2 - 0W
09 OctHNovak Djokovic2 - 0W
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: last 5
13 OctHHubert Hurkacz2 - 1W
11 OctHFrances Tiafoe2 - 1W
11 OctHFrances Tiafoe2 - 1W
09 OctHJenson Brooksby2 - 0W
09 OctHJenson Brooksby2 - 0W
Head to head
13 Oct 2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 1Hubert Hurkacz
29 Sep 2026Hubert Hurkacz0 - 2Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
29 Sep 2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 0Hubert Hurkacz
01 Jan 2024Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 1Hubert Hurkacz
27 Jun 2022Alejandro Davidovich Fokina3 - 2Hubert Hurkacz
02 May 2022Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2Hubert Hurkacz
16 Aug 2021Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2Hubert Hurkacz
22 Feb 2021Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 0Hubert Hurkacz
31 Aug 2020Alejandro Davidovich Fokina3 - 1Hubert Hurkacz
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.9950.2%12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8653.8%12 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC