| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 41.9% | 39% | +2.6% | |
| DC | Home or away | 73.5% | 76% | -2.9% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.0% | 54% | +0.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 58% | -2.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.5% | 27.2% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 36.9% | 31.6% | 31.5% |
| logistic | 37.0% | 27.8% | 35.2% |
| Kilmarnock | St Johnstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1670 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1670 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 5 W · 1 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Dundee | 1 - 3 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Dundee | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Falkirk | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Falkirk | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Motherwell | 3 - 2 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Motherwell | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Motherwell | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Rangers | 0 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Rangers | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Dundee United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 02 Aug 2026 | St Johnstone | 4 - 3 | Kilmarnock |
| 03 May 2025 | St Johnstone | 0 - 2 | Kilmarnock |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Kilmarnock | 3 - 1 | St Johnstone |
| 23 Nov 2024 | St Johnstone | 1 - 0 | Kilmarnock |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Kilmarnock | 0 - 3 | St Johnstone |
| 13 Apr 2024 | St Johnstone | 0 - 2 | Kilmarnock |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Kilmarnock | 2 - 1 | St Johnstone |
| 01 Nov 2023 | St Johnstone | 2 - 1 | Kilmarnock |
| 20 May 2023 | Kilmarnock | 0 - 1 | St Johnstone |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Kilmarnock | 1 - 1 | St Johnstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.93 | 34.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.63 | 27.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.36 | 42.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.74 | 57.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |