| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.9% | 89% | -24.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 82.9% | 17.0% |
| logistic | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Henry Searle | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1456 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1456 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Matthew William Donald | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Liam Draxl | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Adrien Gobat | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Guillaume Dalmasso | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Massard, L | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Melih Anavatan | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.50 | 18.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.12 | 89.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |