| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.4% | 52% | +5.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.1% | 48.8% |
| logistic | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1529 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1529 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Vergara Rivera, Antonia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Konishi Camargo Silva, Julia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Clara Burel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Dalma Galfi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Fiona Ferro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Maria Lourdes Carle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Carolina Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Geerlings Martinez, Ariana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Deborah Chiesa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Dalma Galfi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Dec 2024 | Julia Grabher | 2 - 1 | Leyre Romero Gormaz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |