| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.7% | 43% | +16.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.8% | 37.2% |
| logistic | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| Marin Cilic | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1785 | 1711 |
| Surface Elo | 1785 | 1711 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 6 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Adam Walton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Yosuke Watanuki | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Adam Walton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Arthur Fery | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Marin Cilic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Taro Daniel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Marin Cilic | 0 - 2 | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
| 01 Oct 2025 | Marin Cilic | 2 - 0 | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
| 07 Jun 2021 | Marin Cilic | 2 - 0 | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |