| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.2% | 47% | -5.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.7% | 75% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 54.4% | 64% | -9.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 57% | -0.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.6% | 27.6% | 42.7% |
| xgboost | 34.6% | 28.9% | 36.6% |
| logistic | 37.3% | 29.3% | 33.4% |
| Sunderland | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1660 | 1734 |
| Surface Elo | 1660 | 1734 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Leeds | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Leeds | 0 - 0 | D |
| 22 Oct | A | KKS Lech Poznan | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Hull | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Hull | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Liverpool | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Liverpool | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Aston Villa | 2 - 2 | D |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Brentford | 1 - 1 | Sunderland |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Brentford | 3 - 0 | Sunderland |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Sunderland | 2 - 1 | Brentford |
| 17 Feb 2018 | Sunderland | 0 - 2 | Brentford |
| 21 Oct 2017 | Brentford | 3 - 3 | Sunderland |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.11 | 47.4% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.76 | 26.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.57 | 28.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.74 | 57.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |