OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:15 UTC · finished
Strasbourg 1.40 1 - 3 2.00 Paris Saint Germain
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.6%71%-14.1%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 80.8%88%-7.6%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 74.2%85%-11.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.3%75%-12.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson23.6%22.1%54.3%
xgboost19.8%17.9%62.3%
logistic16.2%22.4%61.4%
Inputs the models saw
StrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Elo (pre-match)16951864
Surface Elo16951864
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.402.00
Form trend0.90-0.70
Season points per game1.171.83
Season goals for / game1.831.83
Season goals against / game2.001.33
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W6 W · 3 D
Strasbourg: last 5
11 OctANice1 - 2L
11 OctANice1 - 2L
19 SepAParis FC1 - 2L
12 SepHMonaco1 - 1D
06 SepATroyes6 - 2W
Paris Saint Germain: last 5
14 OctAManchester City4 - 2W
10 OctHLe Mans3 - 1W
10 OctHLe Mans3 - 1W
20 SepAMarseille2 - 1W
13 SepABrest1 - 0W
Head to head
01 Feb 2026Strasbourg1 - 2Paris Saint Germain
17 Oct 2025Paris Saint Germain3 - 3Strasbourg
03 May 2025Strasbourg2 - 1Paris Saint Germain
19 Oct 2024Paris Saint Germain4 - 2Strasbourg
02 Feb 2024Strasbourg1 - 2Paris Saint Germain
21 Oct 2023Paris Saint Germain3 - 0Strasbourg
27 May 2023Strasbourg1 - 1Paris Saint Germain
28 Dec 2022Paris Saint Germain2 - 1Strasbourg
29 Apr 2022Strasbourg3 - 3Paris Saint Germain
14 Aug 2021Paris Saint Germain4 - 2Strasbourg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.4569.0%17 Oct 16:15
Bet3651X2draw5.2519.1%17 Oct 16:15
Bet3651X2home5.5018.2%17 Oct 16:15
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3673.5%17 Oct 16:15
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.2031.2%17 Oct 16:15
SportyBet1X2away1.4369.9%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.7817.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home6.7714.8%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3574.1%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.3330.0%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC