| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.5% | 66% | -5.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.3% | 44.6% |
| logistic | 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Damir Dzumhur | Inaki Montes De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1751 | 1665 |
| Surface Elo | 1751 | 1665 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Sebastian Baez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Toby Samuel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Toby Samuel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Henrique Rocha | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 1 | Inaki Montes De La Torre |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |