OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
🇮🇹 Serie A · Sunday 18 October 2026, 10:30 UTC · finished
Udinese 0.60 0 - 3 0.60 Lecce
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.2%53%-0.0%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 79.9%81%-1.3%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 71.1%73%-1.7%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60.2%49%+11.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.8%27.8%22.4%
xgboost56.5%22.6%20.9%
logistic54.0%25.1%20.8%
Inputs the models saw
UdineseLecce
Elo (pre-match)16001569
Surface Elo16001569
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend0.600.00
Season points per game0.671.00
Season goals for / game1.501.00
Season goals against / game2.172.00
Rest days56
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Udinese: last 5
12 OctATorino1 - 2L
26 SepAPogon Szczecin1 - 1D
19 SepHCagliari0 - 1L
14 SepAInter3 - 5L
07 SepHLazio1 - 2L
Lecce: last 5
11 OctHBologna1 - 2L
11 OctHBologna1 - 2L
20 SepAAc Milan0 - 3L
13 SepHMonza3 - 2W
07 SepACagliari0 - 1L
Head to head
08 Feb 2026Lecce2 - 1Udinese
25 Oct 2025Udinese3 - 2Lecce
21 Feb 2025Lecce0 - 1Udinese
05 Oct 2024Udinese1 - 0Lecce
13 May 2024Lecce0 - 2Udinese
23 Oct 2023Udinese1 - 1Lecce
28 Apr 2023Lecce1 - 0Udinese
04 Nov 2022Udinese1 - 1Lecce
29 Jul 2020Udinese1 - 2Lecce
06 Jan 2020Lecce0 - 1Udinese
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.3323.1%18 Oct 11:30
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%18 Oct 11:30
Bet3651X2home1.8354.6%18 Oct 11:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.1047.6%18 Oct 11:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.7357.8%18 Oct 11:30
SportyBet1X2away4.6221.6%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8853.2%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1047.6%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7955.9%18 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC