| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.5% | 53% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.7% | 84% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.4% | 74% | -0.9% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 67% | -10.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.3% | 31.9% | 19.8% |
| xgboost | 54.2% | 26.2% | 19.6% |
| logistic | 56.8% | 25.2% | 17.9% |
| Sabadell | Tenerife | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1507 | 1418 |
| Surface Elo | 1507 | 1418 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ceuta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Ceuta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Andorra | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Sevilla Atletico | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Las Palmas | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Oct | H | UD Villa Santa Brigida | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Celta B | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Oct | A | Celta B | 1 - 1 | D |
| 16 May 2021 | Sabadell | 0 - 2 | Tenerife |
| 03 Dec 2020 | Tenerife | 1 - 2 | Sabadell |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.75 | 21.1% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.60 | 38.5% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.48 | 67.6% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.55 | 39.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.50 | 66.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |