| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.9% | 64% | -8.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 66.9% | 33.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.1% | 66.8% |
| logistic | 66.1% | 33.9% |
| Lorenzo Sonego | Moise Kouame | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1745 | 1582 |
| Surface Elo | 1745 | 1582 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 21 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Lorenzo Sonego | 0 - 2 | Moise Kouame |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |