OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-19
🎾 ATP Challenger Biella, Italy Men Singles · Saturday 19 September 2026, 12:40 UTC · finished
Alejandro Moro Canas 1.80 2 - 1 1.80 Jay Clarke
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.5%59%-7.3%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov51.1%48.9%
poisson37.0%35.3%
logisticfailed: ValueError
xgboostfailed: ValueError
Inputs the models saw
Alejandro Moro CanasJay Clarke
Elo (pre-match)16061562
Surface Elo16061562
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.80
Form trend0.600.00
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days1219
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Alejandro Moro Canas: last 5
18 SepHOriol Roca Batalla2 - 0W
16 SepHPavel Lagutin2 - 0W
14 SepHCarlo Alberto Caniato0 - 2L
14 SepHJay Clarke2 - 1W
14 SepHOriol Roca Batalla2 - 0W
Jay Clarke: last 5
18 SepHFelix Gill2 - 1W
16 SepHPetr Brunclik2 - 0W
14 SepAAlejandro Moro Canas1 - 2L
14 SepAFelix Gill2 - 1W
14 SepHPetr Brunclik2 - 0W
Head to head
14 Sep 2026Alejandro Moro Canas2 - 1Jay Clarke
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.1047.6%19 Sep 06:16
SportyBet1X2home1.7058.8%19 Sep 06:16
Generated 2026-10-30 21:34 UTC