| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.3% | 64% | -11.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 79.1% | 88% | -9.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 69.7% | 83% | -13.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.5% | 52% | +6.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.3% | 30.2% | 40.6% |
| xgboost | 19.5% | 21.5% | 59.1% |
| logistic | 18.3% | 25.5% | 56.2% |
| Queens Park | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1437 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1437 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 4 W · 4 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Morton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Morton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Inverness C | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Raith Rovers FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Partick | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Partick | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Livingston | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Livingston | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Ayr | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Dunfermline | 2 - 0 | Queens Park |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Queens Park | 0 - 2 | Dunfermline |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Dunfermline | 1 - 0 | Queens Park |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Queens Park | 1 - 1 | Dunfermline |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Dunfermline | 0 - 0 | Queens Park |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Queens Park | 0 - 1 | Dunfermline |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Dunfermline | 0 - 0 | Queens Park |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Queens Park | 2 - 1 | Dunfermline |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Dunfermline | 1 - 2 | Queens Park |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Dunfermline | 0 - 0 | Queens Park |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.60 | 17.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.82 | 54.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |