| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.1% | 66% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 33.9% | 66.0% |
| logistic | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1509 | 1628 |
| Surface Elo | 1509 | 1628 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | George Lazarov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Federico Iannaccone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 1 | Maxim Mrva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 24 Sep 06:15 |