| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.6% | 51% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.9% | 78% | -0.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.5% | 68% | -0.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 64% | +3.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 66.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 58.7% | 22.3% | 19.0% |
| xgboost | 45.1% | 33.4% | 21.6% |
| logistic | 44.2% | 25.0% | 30.8% |
| Torquay | Maidstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1456 | 1226 |
| Surface Elo | 1456 | 1226 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1273 | 1273 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Oxford City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Slough Town | 5 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Tonbridge Angels | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Billericay Town | 0 - 3 | L |
| 29 Apr | H | Wrexham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Maidenhead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Horsham FC | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Truro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Cray Wanderers | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Apr | A | Chesterfield | 0 - 4 | L |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Torquay | 1 - 0 | Maidstone |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Maidstone | 1 - 0 | Torquay |
| 10 Mar 2018 | Maidstone | 1 - 0 | Torquay |
| 11 Nov 2017 | Torquay | 0 - 1 | Maidstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |