| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.9% | 53% | +0.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.4% | 48.5% |
| logistic | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| Federico Iannaccone | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1492 | 1476 |
| Surface Elo | 1492 | 1476 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Filip Cristian Jianu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Filip Cristian Jianu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Consolo, Simone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Giovanni Oradini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Massimo Giunta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Martin Krumich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |