| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.9% | 50% | +2.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.9% | 43.0% |
| logistic | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Thiago Monteiro | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1600 | 1642 |
| Surface Elo | 1600 | 1642 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Henrique Rocha | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Elmer Moller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | Thiago Monteiro |
| 08 Jul 2024 | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | Thiago Monteiro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 19 Oct 06:15 |