| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.7% | 64% | -6.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 82.4% | 89% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 76.5% | 83% | -6.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 62% | -5.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 20.8% | 22.7% | 56.5% |
| xgboost | 17.0% | 25.9% | 57.1% |
| logistic | 14.4% | 25.2% | 60.4% |
| Preston | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1386 | 1701 |
| Surface Elo | 1386 | 1701 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.93 | 2.07 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Sheffield Utd | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Sheffield Utd | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Stoke | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | West Brom | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Wrexham | 1 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | West Brom | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | West Brom | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | Sutton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | QPR | 4 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | QPR | 4 - 1 | W |
| 02 May 2026 | Preston | 1 - 3 | Southampton |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Southampton | 0 - 2 | Preston |
| 16 Apr 2024 | Southampton | 3 - 0 | Preston |
| 25 Oct 2023 | Preston | 2 - 2 | Southampton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.53 | 65.4% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 5.50 | 18.2% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 07 Nov 15:00 |