| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.8% | 65% | -9.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.3% | 66.5% |
| logistic | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| Alafia Ayeni | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1453 | 1443 |
| Surface Elo | 1453 | 1443 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 41 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Kaylan Bigun | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Evan Zhu | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Francesco Maestrelli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Carl Emil Overbeck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Timo Legout | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Timo Legout | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |