| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.5% | 78% | -13.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.2% | 76.7% |
| logistic | 39.4% | 60.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Yanis Ghazouani Durand | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1483 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1483 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Gijs Brouwer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Tom Paris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Leonardo Rossi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Sebastian Dominko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |