| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.7% | 54% | +2.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.4% | 39.5% |
| logistic | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Henry Bernet | Clement Tabur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1682 | 1605 |
| Surface Elo | 1682 | 1605 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 1 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Thijs Boogaard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Clement Tabur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Maximilian Neuchrist | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Henry Bernet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Thomas Faurel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | Henry Bernet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.90 | 52.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |