| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 39.1% | 17% | +22.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.0% | 88% | -14.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 51.9% | 21% | +31.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% | 67% | -4.3% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.4% | 26.3% | 41.3% |
| xgboost | 40.4% | 27.7% | 32.0% |
| logistic | 34.6% | 28.2% | 37.1% |
| Catanzaro | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1412 | 1485 |
| Surface Elo | 1412 | 1485 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Padova | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Padova | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Palermo | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Ac Milan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Benevento | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Nov | H | Palermo | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Nov | H | Palermo | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Arezzo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Arezzo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Avellino | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Catanzaro | 1 - 6 | Ascoli |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Catanzaro | 1 - 6 | Ascoli |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Catanzaro | 3 - 2 | Ascoli |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Ascoli | 1 - 0 | Catanzaro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.40 | 15.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.75 | 21.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.49 | 67.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |