| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.5% | 73% | -14.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.6% | 68.4% |
| logistic | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| Sergey Fomin | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1515 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1515 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.33 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Shearer, Matthew | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Dominik Palan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Timofei Derepasko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Akira Santillan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Dominik Palan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.15 | 31.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |