| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.2% | 64% | -13.9% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.5% | 89% | -9.6% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.3% | 83% | -13.6% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 61% | -1.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.3% | 31.2% | 28.6% |
| xgboost | 51.6% | 29.6% | 18.8% |
| logistic | 53.7% | 28.6% | 17.7% |
| Virtus Entella | Cittadella | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1389 | 1380 |
| Surface Elo | 1389 | 1380 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 535 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Avellino | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Avellino | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Mantova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Mantova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Padova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Brescia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Brescia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Padova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | FC Arzignano Valchiampo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Novara | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 May 2021 | Cittadella | 1 - 0 | Virtus Entella |
| 04 Jan 2021 | Virtus Entella | 1 - 0 | Cittadella |
| 31 Jul 2020 | Virtus Entella | 2 - 3 | Cittadella |
| 29 Dec 2019 | Cittadella | 1 - 3 | Virtus Entella |
| 27 Feb 2018 | Virtus Entella | 0 - 1 | Cittadella |
| 30 Sep 2017 | Cittadella | 0 - 1 | Virtus Entella |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.80 | 20.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |