| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.0% | 53% | -0.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.7% | 51.2% |
| logistic | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Jay Clarke | Gianluca Cadenasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1526 | 1644 |
| Surface Elo | 1526 | 1644 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.64 | 1.93 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.18 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Federico Bondioli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Gabriele Piraino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Florent Bax | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Sandro Kopp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |