| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.0% | 63% | -6.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.3% | 57.7% |
| logistic | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| Clement Tabur | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1663 | 1709 |
| Surface Elo | 1663 | 1709 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Luca Van Assche | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Luca Van Assche | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Valentin Royer | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.59 | 62.9% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 29 Oct 06:15 |