OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ England League Two · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · abandoned
Walsall 1.40 14:00 0.20 Crawley Town
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.9%58%-6.2%abandoned
DCHome or draw 77.5%83%-5.0%abandoned
DNBHome (DNB) 68.9%75%-6.4%abandoned
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 50.5%65%-14.9%abandoned
BTTSBTTS no 51.5%no lineabandoned
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson54.2%25.0%20.8%
xgboost55.2%23.1%21.6%
logistic51.0%28.5%20.5%
Inputs the models saw
WalsallCrawley Town
Elo (pre-match)14441319
Surface Elo14441319
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.400.20
Form trend-0.200.10
Season points per game2.000.00
Season goals for / game1.500.00
Season goals against / game0.502.00
Rest days714
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 7 D
Walsall: last 5
26 SepATranmere1 - 1D
26 SepATranmere1 - 1D
22 SepHStevenage1 - 6L
19 SepHPort Vale2 - 0W
19 SepHPort Vale2 - 0W
Crawley Town: last 5
22 SepAMilton Keynes Dons1 - 4L
19 SepAGrimsby0 - 2L
19 SepAGrimsby0 - 2L
12 SepHCheltenham1 - 3L
05 SepAAccrington2 - 3L
Head to head
27 Jan 2026Walsall0 - 0Crawley Town
11 Oct 2025Crawley Town1 - 1Walsall
13 Feb 2024Crawley Town1 - 1Walsall
24 Oct 2023Walsall1 - 1Crawley Town
29 Apr 2023Crawley Town0 - 0Walsall
19 Nov 2022Walsall2 - 1Crawley Town
18 Apr 2022Crawley Town1 - 0Walsall
07 Dec 2021Walsall1 - 1Crawley Town
16 Mar 2021Crawley Town1 - 1Walsall
03 Nov 2020Walsall1 - 0Crawley Town
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.1024.4%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.1024.4%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7258.1%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5365.4%03 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%03 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC