| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.6% | 74% | -24.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.9% | 88% | -12.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.6% | 92% | -29.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 65% | -9.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.8% | 26.8% | 41.3% |
| xgboost | 33.9% | 26.0% | 40.2% |
| logistic | 29.8% | 25.8% | 44.5% |
| Cosenza | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1357 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1357 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 514 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Foggia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Bari | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Scafatese Calcio 1922 | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 May | A | Spezia | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 May | H | Cesena | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Sampdoria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Sampdoria Genoa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Carrarese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Sudtirol | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Pisa | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Catanzaro | 4 - 0 | Cosenza |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Cosenza | 1 - 1 | Catanzaro |
| 03 Mar 2024 | Cosenza | 0 - 2 | Catanzaro |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Catanzaro | 2 - 0 | Cosenza |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.60 | 21.7% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.10 | 14.1% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |