| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.5% | 81% | -12.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 91.5% | 95% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 89.0% | 93% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 73% | -9.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 84.7% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| xgboost | 76.7% | 14.7% | 8.7% |
| logistic | 76.4% | 15.8% | 7.8% |
| Manchester City | Ipswich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1942 | 1669 |
| Surface Elo | 1942 | 1669 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Liverpool | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Liverpool | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Sunderland | 5 - 3 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Manchester United | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Fulham | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Everton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Crystal Palace | 3 - 2 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Liverpool | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Manchester United | 2 - 5 | L |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Ipswich | 0 - 6 | Manchester City |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Manchester City | 4 - 1 | Ipswich |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 7.00 | 14.3% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.33 | 75.2% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.40 | 29.4% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 10.71 | 9.3% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.35 | 13.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.26 | 79.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.33 | 75.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.50 | 28.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |