OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-05
🎾 ATP Challenger Braga, Portugal Men Singles · Monday 05 October 2026, 09:00 UTC · finished
Duje Ajdukovic 1.20 2 - 0 0.60 Filip Cristian Jianu
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 62.9%56%+6.7%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov60.3%39.7%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost70.3%29.7%
logistic60.0%40.0%
Inputs the models saw
Duje AjdukovicFilip Cristian Jianu
Elo (pre-match)15501467
Surface Elo15501467
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.60
Form trend0.60-0.30
Season points per game0.000.00
Season goals for / game1.000.00
Season goals against / game2.001.00
Rest days83
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Duje Ajdukovic: last 5
05 OctHVilius Gaubas1 - 2L
05 OctHFilip Cristian Jianu2 - 0W
27 SepHImanol Lopez Morillo1 - 2L
07 SepHStefanos Sakellaridis1 - 2L
07 SepHFilippo Romano2 - 0W
Filip Cristian Jianu: last 5
05 OctADuje Ajdukovic0 - 2L
02 OctHRadu David Turcanu0 - 2L
30 SepHMatei Todoran2 - 0W
22 SepHIvan Ivanov0 - 1L
21 SepHIvan Ivanov0 - 2L
Head to head
05 Oct 2026Duje Ajdukovic2 - 0Filip Cristian Jianu
24 Nov 2025Duje Ajdukovic2 - 1Filip Cristian Jianu
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.9750.8%04 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7856.2%04 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC