OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-29

🎾 tennis_atp_swiss_indoors · Thursday 29 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · scheduled

Alex Michelsen 1.80 13:00 1.80 Arthur Fils

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	64.4%	69%	-4.5%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	23.1%	76.9%
logistic	41.3%	58.7%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Alex Michelsen	Arthur Fils
Elo (pre-match)	1892	2004
Surface Elo	1892	2004
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	1.80
Form trend	0.30	0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	1	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	2 W · 0 D

Alex Michelsen: last 5

27 Oct	H	Botic Van De Zandschulp	2 - 1	W
23 Oct	A	Arthur Fils	0 - 2	L
23 Oct	H	Arthur Fils	0 - 2	L
22 Oct	A	David Goffin	2 - 0	W
22 Oct	H	David Goffin	2 - 0	W

Arthur Fils: last 5

27 Oct	A	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2 - 0	W
24 Oct	H	Jan Lennard Struff	1 - 2	L
24 Oct	H	Rodrigo Alujas	1 - 2	L
23 Oct	H	Alex Michelsen	2 - 0	W
23 Oct	A	Alex Michelsen	2 - 0	W

Head to head

23 Oct 2026	Arthur Fils	2 - 0	Alex Michelsen
23 Oct 2026	Alex Michelsen	0 - 2	Arthur Fils

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.80	35.7%	29 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.46	68.5%	29 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.75	36.4%	29 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.44	69.4%	29 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.80	35.7%	29 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.45	69.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.70	37.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.42	70.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.94	34.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.51	66.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Alex Michelsen	2.98	33.6%	29 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Arthur Fils	1.52	65.8%	29 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.86	35.0%	29 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.45	69.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.75	36.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.43	69.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.78	36.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.45	69.0%	29 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.80	35.7%	29 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.43	69.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.76	36.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.44	69.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.94	34.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.51	66.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Alex Michelsen	2.96	33.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Arthur Fils	1.52	65.8%	29 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.75	36.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.43	69.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.92	34.2%	29 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.47	68.0%	29 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.65	37.7%	29 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.36	73.5%	29 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.45	69.0%	29 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	2.85	35.1%	29 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.70	37.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.40	71.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.65	37.7%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.39	71.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.80	35.7%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.43	69.9%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.80	35.7%	29 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.43	69.9%	29 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.75	36.4%	29 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.44	69.4%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.85	35.1%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.46	68.5%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Alex Michelsen	2.70	37.0%	29 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.42	70.4%	29 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:03 UTC