OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Cheltenham 1.20 1 - 0 1.80 Newport County
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.7%39%+5.5%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.4%77%-1.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 56.3%55%+1.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.7%53%+3.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.0%24.1%29.9%
xgboost36.0%27.6%36.5%
logistic38.2%29.2%32.5%
Inputs the models saw
CheltenhamNewport County
Elo (pre-match)14271395
Surface Elo14271395
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.80
Form trend0.000.40
Season points per game1.501.25
Season goals for / game1.751.33
Season goals against / game1.831.25
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W2 W · 3 D
Cheltenham: last 5
20 OctHFleetwood Town4 - 2W
20 OctHFleetwood Town4 - 2W
17 OctAOldham1 - 4L
17 OctAOldham1 - 4L
13 OctHTottenham2 - 2D
Newport County: last 5
20 OctARotherham2 - 2D
20 OctARotherham2 - 2D
17 OctHYork1 - 1D
17 OctHYork1 - 1D
10 OctHColchester1 - 0W
Head to head
18 Apr 2026Cheltenham1 - 0Newport County
18 Oct 2025Newport County0 - 2Cheltenham
22 Feb 2025Newport County0 - 3Cheltenham
10 Aug 2024Cheltenham3 - 2Newport County
01 May 2021Newport County1 - 0Cheltenham
19 Jan 2021Cheltenham1 - 1Newport County
01 Jan 2020Newport County1 - 1Cheltenham
15 Mar 2019Newport County1 - 0Cheltenham
24 Nov 2018Cheltenham2 - 1Newport County
30 Dec 2017Cheltenham1 - 1Newport County
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.5738.9%24 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.2031.2%24 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2home2.5539.2%24 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9551.3%24 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8554.0%24 Oct 12:30
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5539.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8952.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8853.2%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:17 UTC