| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.8% | 66% | +1.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 88.5% | 86% | +2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 85.0% | 82% | +3.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 67% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 66.0% | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| xgboost | 53.4% | 22.5% | 24.2% |
| logistic | 52.8% | 24.1% | 23.1% |
| Villarreal | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1692 | 1617 |
| Surface Elo | 1692 | 1617 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.83 | 1.80 |
| Rest days | 2 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 17 Sep | A | Malaga | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Betis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | La Coruna | 2 - 3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Alaves | 0 - 1 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Atlético Madrid | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Ontinyent CF | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Barcelona | 2 - 4 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Malaga | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Betis | 5 - 2 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Osasuna | 0 - 0 | D |
| 02 May 2026 | Villarreal | 5 - 1 | Levante |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Levante | 0 - 1 | Villarreal |
| 02 Apr 2022 | Levante | 2 - 0 | Villarreal |
| 03 Jan 2022 | Villarreal | 5 - 0 | Levante |
| 18 Apr 2021 | Levante | 1 - 5 | Villarreal |
| 02 Jan 2021 | Villarreal | 2 - 1 | Levante |
| 15 Feb 2020 | Villarreal | 2 - 1 | Levante |
| 23 Aug 2019 | Levante | 2 - 1 | Villarreal |
| 10 Mar 2019 | Levante | 0 - 2 | Villarreal |
| 04 Nov 2018 | Villarreal | 1 - 1 | Levante |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.50 | 18.2% | 20 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.50 | 22.2% | 20 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 20 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 20 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 20 Sep 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.82 | 17.2% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.01 | 20.0% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.46 | 68.5% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.80 | 35.7% | 20 Sep 06:16 |