OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-21
⚽ England Amateur Premier League Cup · Wednesday 21 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Norwich 0.00 1 - 1 0.80 Bristol City
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.9%57%-12.6%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.9%87%-12.0%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 57.1%73%-15.7%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 75.7%68%+7.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 71.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.3%26.0%27.8%
xgboost34.5%30.8%34.8%
logistic40.3%26.3%33.4%
Inputs the models saw
NorwichBristol City
Elo (pre-match)15041511
Surface Elo15041511
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.000.80
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game3.000.00
Season goals for / game3.003.00
Season goals against / game2.005.00
Rest days44
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W4 W · 1 D
Norwich: last 5
17 OctHPortsmouth0 - 1L
17 OctHPortsmouth0 - 1L
14 OctHSouthampton0 - 1L
14 OctHSouthampton0 - 1L
10 OctASwansea1 - 2L
Bristol City: last 5
17 OctHSheffield Utd0 - 1L
17 OctHSheffield Utd0 - 1L
13 OctHBlackburn0 - 1L
13 OctHBlackburn0 - 1L
12 OctHExeter City Reserve3 - 5L
Head to head
18 Apr 2026Bristol City2 - 4Norwich
18 Oct 2025Norwich0 - 1Bristol City
14 Mar 2025Bristol City2 - 1Norwich
09 Nov 2024Norwich0 - 2Bristol City
20 Apr 2024Norwich1 - 1Bristol City
03 Dec 2023Bristol City1 - 2Norwich
11 Feb 2023Bristol City1 - 0Norwich
14 Sep 2022Norwich3 - 2Bristol City
20 Jan 2021Norwich2 - 0Bristol City
31 Oct 2020Bristol City1 - 3Norwich
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.4029.4%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.3023.3%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7457.5%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4668.5%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.5040.0%21 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC