| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.8% | 53% | +5.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| logistic | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Cristina Bucsa | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1551 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1551 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 7 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Polina Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Dayana Yastremska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Dayana Yastremska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Sun, Xinran | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Xinran Sun | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Elena Rybakina | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Katie Volynets | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Clara Tauson | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Cristina Bucsa | 0 - 2 | Polina Kudermetova |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Cristina Bucsa | 1 - 2 | Polina Kudermetova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.96 | 51.0% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |