OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-09-27

NFL · Sunday 27 September 2026, 20:25 UTC · finished

New Orleans Saints – 27 - 35 – Las Vegas Raiders

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	64.9%	64%	+1.2%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	64.9%	35.1%

Inputs the models saw

	New Orleans Saints	Las Vegas Raiders
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.06
form diff	0.25
rest diff	0.02
home field	1.00
point diff	0.81
opponent strength diff	-0.12
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-09-26T20:25:00+00:00

New Orleans Saints: last 5

20 Sep	A	Baltimore Ravens	24 - 17	W
13 Sep	A	Detroit Lions	30 - 31	L
04 Jan	A	Atlanta Falcons	17 - 19	L
28 Dec	A	Tennessee Titans	34 - 26	W
21 Dec	H	New York Jets	29 - 6	W

Las Vegas Raiders: last 5

20 Sep	A	Los Angeles Chargers	26 - 14	W
13 Sep	H	Miami Dolphins	27 - 13	W
04 Jan	H	Kansas City Chiefs	14 - 12	W
28 Dec	H	New York Giants	10 - 34	L
21 Dec	A	Houston Texans	21 - 23	L

Head to head

29 Dec 2024	New Orleans Saints	10 - 25	Las Vegas Raiders
30 Oct 2022	New Orleans Saints	24 - 0	Las Vegas Raiders
22 Sep 2020	Las Vegas Raiders	34 - 24	New Orleans Saints

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
No bookmaker lines stored.

Generated 2026-10-30 19:27 UTC