| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.3% | 92% | -21.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 92.6% | 7.4% |
| logistic | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Serban, Isabella Maria | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1502 | 1517 |
| Surface Elo | 1502 | 1517 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.90 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 10 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Bianca Andreescu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Mair, Laura | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Ayla Aksu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Polina Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Ma, C | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Maric, D | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Mi, L | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Longueville, Romane | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Li, Zongyu | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.30 | 15.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |