OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ England National League · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Sutton 0.40 2 - 0 0.60 Aldershot
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.6%54%-5.7%✓ hit
DCHome or away 77.3%81%-3.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 62.2%73%-10.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.9%59%-1.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.2%24.8%32.0%
xgboost48.5%21.8%29.8%
logistic47.4%26.5%26.2%
Inputs the models saw
SuttonAldershot
Elo (pre-match)13811353
Surface Elo13811353
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.400.60
Form trend0.200.60
Season points per game0.500.50
Season goals for / game1.001.33
Season goals against / game2.001.83
Rest days44
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W1 W · 5 D
Sutton: last 5
24 OctAHarrogate1 - 3L
24 OctAHarrogate1 - 3L
17 OctHTruro1 - 0W
13 OctHWest Brom3 - 2W
09 OctHBoreham Wood0 - 2L
Aldershot: last 5
24 OctHWealdstone0 - 1L
24 OctHWealdstone0 - 1L
10 OctAAltrincham1 - 3L
10 OctAAltrincham1 - 3L
03 OctHCarlisle1 - 3L
Head to head
03 Apr 2026Aldershot2 - 2Sutton
26 Dec 2025Sutton0 - 0Aldershot
18 Apr 2025Aldershot1 - 1Sutton
01 Jan 2025Sutton1 - 1Aldershot
01 May 2021Sutton3 - 1Aldershot
06 Oct 2020Aldershot1 - 2Sutton
26 Aug 2019Aldershot1 - 1Sutton
29 Dec 2018Sutton2 - 1Aldershot
27 Aug 2018Aldershot2 - 1Sutton
28 Apr 2018Sutton2 - 1Aldershot
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.8026.3%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8454.4%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7058.8%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%27 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC