| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.3% | 51% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.5% | 51.4% |
| logistic | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Tiago Torres | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1472 | 1521 |
| Surface Elo | 1472 | 1521 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 6 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tiago Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | Tiago Torres |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.98 | 50.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |