| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.9% | 65% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.4% | 52.5% |
| logistic | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Olle Wallin | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1447 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1447 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Matthew William Donald | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Matthew William Donald | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Johan Nikles | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Carlos Taberner | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Nicolas Ifi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Ioannis Xilas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jan | A | Alastair Gray | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jan | H | Tibo Colson | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |